US Grow Zones

Modesto, California: planting zone & frost dates

Last updated · Sources: PRISM/OSU 2023 ZIP zone listings; NOAA NCEI 1991–2020 Climate Normals (station USW00023258); U.S. Census Bureau — see methodology

Modesto is in USDA plant hardiness zone 9b, where the average coldest winter night reaches 25 to 30°F (-3.9 to -1.1°C). The typical last spring frost is around Feb 10 and the first fall frost around Nov 29.

Hardiness zone9B25 to 30°F
Last spring frostFeb 1030% chance of frost after
First fall frostNov 2930% chance of frost before
Growing season312 daysmedian frost-free days

Frost dates

ProbabilityLast spring frost (32°F)First fall frost (32°F)
Safer (10% risk)Feb 25Nov 20
Typical planning date (30% risk)Feb 10Nov 29
Median (50%)Jan 31Dec 5

How to read this: after the spring "10% risk" date, a 32°F frost happens in only about 1 year in 10. In fall, the "10% risk" date is the early end — a frost before it happens about 1 year in 10.

Frost data comes from NOAA station MODESTO CITY CO AP, CA (USW00023258), 3.0 mi (4.9 km) from the city center and 13 ft lower than the city center (-4 m). Record used for the 1991–2020 normals: 20 years.

Frost probability in spring and fall, Modesto, CAChance of a 32°F frost in Modesto, CA, NOAA 1991–2020. Spring: the chance of another frost falls from 90% on Dec 31 to 10% on Feb 25. Fall: the chance that the first frost has arrived rises from 10% on Nov 20 to 90% on Jan 6.0%50%100%Spring: later frostDec 15Jan 15Feb 1530%: Feb 10Fall: frost arrivedNov 15Dec 15Jan 1530%: Nov 2932°F frost28°F hard freezeplanning date
Shaded areas show the chance of a 32°F frost: falling through spring, rising through fall. The dashed line is the 28°F hard-freeze curve. Data: NOAA 1991–2020 Normals, station USW00023258.
Frost-free growing season in Modesto, CA1 in 10 risk: Feb 25 to Nov 20 (268 days); 3 in 10 risk: Feb 10 to Nov 29 (292 days); Median (50%): Jan 31 to Dec 5 (308 days); No 28°F freeze: Jan 8 to Dec 21 (347 days). In 9 of 10 years the 32°F-free season is at least 279 days.Frost-free days, spring to fallJFMAMJJASOND1 in 10 risk268 days3 in 10 risk292 daysMedian (50%)308 daysNo 28°F freeze347 days
Frost-free window at three risk levels, plus the window between 28°F hard freezes. Read about what the probabilities mean.

Why your yard may differ from the station: microclimates.

Hardiness zone across Modesto

All 8 ZIP codes covering Modesto are in zone 9b.

ZIP codes in Modesto and their zones
ZIPZoneShare of city land
953509b20.5%
953559b20.5%
953589b15.0%
953549b12.6%
953569b11.5%
953519b9.9%
953139b5.0%
953579b4.6%

Vegetable planting calendar for Modesto

Dates are counted from the 30%-risk frost dates above (last frost Feb 10, first frost Nov 29). Shift a week later in cold spots or low-lying ground.

CropStart indoorsTransplant / plant outDirect sowFall crop sow/plant
TomatoDec 16 – Dec 30Feb 17 – Mar 3——
PepperDec 2 – Dec 16Feb 24 – Mar 10——
Lettuce
Mild winters: fall and winter plantings are usually more reliable than spring.
Dec 30 – Jan 13Jan 27 – Feb 17Jan 13 – Feb 24Sep 20 – Oct 18
Green Beans——Feb 17 – Mar 24Sep 6 – Sep 20
Sweet Corn——Feb 17 – Mar 17—
Zucchini & Summer SquashJan 13 – Jan 20Feb 17 – Mar 3Feb 17 – Mar 10Sep 6 – Sep 20
CucumberJan 13 – Jan 20Feb 24 – Mar 3Feb 17 – Mar 10Sep 6 – Sep 20
Carrot
Mild winters: fall and winter plantings are usually more reliable than spring.
——Jan 20 – Feb 24Sep 6 – Sep 20
Onion
Mild winters: fall and winter plantings are usually more reliable than spring.
Nov 18 – Dec 2Jan 13 – Jan 27——
Potato
Mild winters: fall and winter plantings are usually more reliable than spring.
—Jan 13 – Feb 3——
BasilDec 30 – Jan 13Feb 24 – Mar 10Feb 24 – Mar 17—
Spinach
Mild winters: fall and winter plantings are usually more reliable than spring.
——Dec 30 – Jan 27Oct 4 – Nov 1
Kale
Mild winters: fall and winter plantings are usually more reliable than spring.
Dec 16 – Dec 30Jan 13 – Feb 3Jan 13 – Feb 3Sep 20 – Oct 18
Broccoli
Mild winters: fall and winter plantings are usually more reliable than spring.
Dec 16 – Dec 30Jan 27 – Feb 17—Sep 6 – Sep 20
Peas
Mild winters: fall and winter plantings are usually more reliable than spring.
——Dec 30 – Jan 20Sep 20 – Oct 4
EggplantDec 2 – Dec 16Feb 24 – Mar 10——
Cabbage
Mild winters: fall and winter plantings are usually more reliable than spring.
Dec 16 – Dec 30Jan 13 – Jan 27—Sep 6 – Sep 20
Radish
Mild winters: fall and winter plantings are usually more reliable than spring.
——Jan 6 – Feb 24Oct 18 – Nov 15
Strawberry—Jan 13 – Feb 3——
Beets
Mild winters: fall and winter plantings are usually more reliable than spring.
——Jan 20 – Mar 3Sep 20 – Oct 4

Nearby cities in California

More: all California cities · other zone 9b cities: Houston, TX, Phoenix, AZ, Jacksonville, FL, San Jose, CA, Fresno, CA, Sacramento, CA, Mesa, AZ, Bakersfield, CA

Modesto gardening questions

When is the last frost in Modesto, CA?

Plan around Feb 10. At NOAA's Modesto City County Airport, CA station, 3.0 mi from the city center, there is a 30% chance of a 32°F frost after that date. Half of springs have their last frost by Jan 31, and after Feb 25 the risk drops to about 1 in 10. A hard freeze (28°F) usually ends earlier, around Jan 8. Springs here are erratic: 56 days separate the 90% and 10% dates, versus a median of 36 days for cities on this site, so watch the forecast rather than the calendar.

When should I plant tomatoes in Modesto, CA?

Start seeds indoors Dec 16 – Dec 30 and set transplants outside Feb 17 – Mar 3, once nights stay above 50°F and the soil is near 60°F. With about 292 frost-free days, frost is not the main limit — fruit set drops when nights stay above about 75°F, so early plantings tend to do best. More: tomato planting dates by zone.

How long is the growing season in Modesto?

About 312 days without a 32°F frost in a typical (median) year. In 9 years out of 10 the season lasts at least 279 days, and in 1 year in 10 it runs 343 days or more. In fall there is a 10% chance of frost by Nov 20 and a 30% chance by Nov 29. That ranks 66th longest of 84 California cities on this site.

When should I plant a fall garden in Modesto?

Count back from the first fall frost (Nov 29): transplant broccoli Sep 6 – Sep 20; sow kale Sep 20 – Oct 18; sow lettuce Sep 20 – Oct 18; sow radishes Oct 18 – Nov 15. Hardy crops keep growing through light frosts; the median 28°F hard freeze here is Dec 21. How the math works: succession and fall planting.

Did Modesto's hardiness zone change on the 2023 map?

No. Going by the zone that covers most of the city's land, Modesto is zone 9b on both the 2012 and the 2023 USDA maps (PRISM/OSU ZIP listings). About 42% of U.S. ZIP codes kept their half-zone in 2023. Why the 2023 map is warmer.

How does Modesto compare with Manteca, CA?

Both are in zone 9b. The typical last spring frost in Modesto (Feb 10) comes about 7 days earlier than in Manteca, CA (Feb 17), 16 miles away, and the first fall frost is Nov 29 versus Nov 24. The two cities use different NOAA stations.